Typhoon Swell in Okinawa: When to Surf It and When to Stay Out

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Typhoon season is when Okinawa gets its biggest and most powerful waves. It is also when surfers here get into the most trouble.

A typhoon hundreds of miles away can send clean, long lines of swell onto a reef under a blue sky. It looks like the day you have been waiting for. Then a set far bigger than everything else comes through, the current starts to pull, and a leash snaps.

I live in Okinawa and surf here all year. I have snapped a board in half on a typhoon swell, and I have been scared enough to get out of the water in under an hour. This guide covers when the season is, what a typhoon does to the surf, and how to decide whether you should be out there at all.

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The Short Version

  • The season runs from about July to October, with August and September at the peak.
  • The best waves usually arrive before the storm does, while the sky is still clear.
  • Typhoon swell is not normal surf. The sets are bigger, the lulls are longer and the currents are stronger.
  • Beginners should stay out. Intermediate surfers should be very careful.
  • Watch for much longer than usual before you paddle out, and check your leash.
  • Choosing not to surf is a skill. On these days it is often the right call.

When Typhoon Season Is

Large waves breaking in rows on a stormy day

According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, about 25 typhoons form in the western Pacific in an average year. Seven or eight of them come close to Okinawa. Here is how those are spread through the year.

Typhoons coming close to Okinawa, average per month
May0.4
June0.6
July1.5
August2.2
September1.9
October1.1
November0.3
Japan Meteorological Agency, 1991 to 2020 average. Close means the center passes within about 190 miles (300 km). The yearly average is 7.7.

That works out to about two a month in August and September. Not every one brings good surf, and not every one hits the island. But from July to October there is almost always something to watch on the weather map.


What a Typhoon Does to the Surf

A typhoon changes the surf in three stages. Which stage you are in matters more than how strong the storm is.

The three stages of a typhoon swell
Days before, while the storm is far awayBest window
Long, clean lines of swell with light wind and often a clear sky. This is when the good waves come, and when people underestimate them.
As the storm approachesStay out
Strong wind, rain, and surf that is too big and too messy to ride. Stay home and get ready for the storm.
After it passesCheck first
Leftover swell, sometimes with good wind. Also debris, dirty water and currents that are still strong.

A few things are specific to Okinawa.

  • Flat spots wake up. The west coast is often flat in summer, but a typhoon swell can turn Sunabe into a serious wave overnight.
  • Consistent spots get too big. Komesu Coast, the spot surfers call Suicide Cliffs, picks up swell all year. A typhoon often makes it too big to surf at all.
  • The tide still rules. You still only have about two hours either side of high tide, and big tides make the currents stronger.

Why It Is More Dangerous Than It Looks

Typhoon swell fools people because the gaps between waves look calm. These are the five things that catch surfers out.

1. The sets

The waves come in sets, and on a typhoon swell the sets behave differently.

  • The lulls are long. You can watch for several minutes and see nothing but small waves.
  • The sets are huge. When they come, they are far bigger than everything in between.

So watch for much longer than you normally would before you decide. If you only watch for two minutes, you will see the lull and not the set. I learned how frightening those sets are as a beginner, the hard way.

2. The currents

Bigger waves push more water onto the reef, and all of it has to go back out. The currents get stronger in step with the swell.

At some spots you have to paddle the whole time just to stay in place. Every typhoon season I hear of surfers who were carried out, could not get back, and had to be rescued by the coast guard.

I know the feeling. Paddling toward the beach as hard as you can and watching it get farther away is a special kind of fear.

3. The waves break in different places

A big swell breaks farther out than usual, over parts of the reef that are normally just deep water. When people say it is “breaking way outside,” it has become an experts-only wave.

Before you go in, work out where people are sitting, where the waves are breaking, and where the water gets shallow. The spot you know on a normal day is not the same spot today.

4. Your gear fails

A white surfboard snapped in half, lying on the ground
My board after a typhoon swell.

Typhoon waves carry far more power than everyday surf. That is my board in the photo. A typhoon swell snapped it clean in half.

Leashes go the same way. When I was three months into surfing, a leash that was only three months old snapped on a big day and left me swimming in the impact zone. A few days later I went to a surf shop and bought the thickest leash they had.

  • Check the whole leash before every big session: the cord, the swivels, the cuff and the string that ties it to the board.
  • Use a regular leash, not a thin competition one.
  • Remember that a leash is not a lifeline. Any leash can break, new or old.
A surfboard drifting away in rough water after its leash broke
Beach Access premium light leash, 6 to 10 ft (Amazon Japan)
Beach Access premium light leash, 6 to 10 ft (Amazon Japan)

5. The weather turns fast

As a typhoon gets closer, conditions can change within a single session. The wind swings, the rain arrives, and the swell jumps in size.

Decide before you paddle out what will make you come in. If the sky darkens or the sets start getting bigger, go in right away.


Who Should Paddle Out

Should you paddle out?
BeginnerStay out
Watch from the seawall instead. You learn a lot just by seeing where the sets break.
IntermediateEarly days only
Only on the smaller days before the storm, at a spot you know well, with someone more experienced.
ExperiencedYour call
You know the checklist. Use it, and keep an eye on the people around you who do not.

When I was new, I used to think, “The waves are a bit big, but I drove all this way, so I might as well go in.” That is exactly the thought that gets people hurt.

If something in you says it looks dangerous, listen to it. Deciding not to surf today is a real decision, and often the best one.

A big day is still worth the drive. At Sunabe the waves break close to the seawall, and watching from the top is a show in itself.

Parking and the layout of the wall are in my Sunabe Seawall Surf Guide.


Before You Paddle Out

Typhoon swell checklist
1Watch for longer than usual.
Long enough to see at least a few full sets.
2Find the way out and the way back in.
Where people paddle out, where the current runs, and where you will get out.
3Check your leash.
Cord, swivels, cuff and string.
4Check the tide.
The window is the same as always, and big tides mean stronger currents.
5Do not go out alone.
Surf where other people are, and tell someone on land where you are.
6Set your exit rule.
Decide in advance what will make you come in.

If You Get Into Trouble

Rough gray sea over the reef at Komesu Coast
Komesu Coast with a typhoon approaching, August 2021.
  • Stay with your board. It floats. As long as you are holding it, you are not going under.
  • Do not sprint. Panic paddling burns the energy you need. Stop, breathe and look around.
  • Look for where the waves are breaking. Water moves toward the shore there. Flat, calm-looking water is often where the current runs out.
  • Call for help early. Wave an arm and shout. It is better to be embarrassed than to be in real trouble.

I go through currents and the other hazards in detail in Okinawa Surf Hazards.


If You Are in the US Military: TCCOR and Sea Condition

I am not in the military, so treat this as a pointer and confirm it with your unit.

The 18th Wing at Kadena publishes a guide to its typhoon readiness levels, called TCCOR. In that guide, destructive winds means 50 knots or more, which is about 58 mph.

TCCOR levels, from the 18th Wing guide
TCCOR 4Destructive winds are possible within 72 hours
TCCOR 3Destructive winds are possible within 48 hours
TCCOR 2Destructive winds are anticipated within 24 hours
TCCOR 1Destructive winds are anticipated within 12 hours
TCCOR 1 CautionWinds of 35 to 49 knots are occurring, and destructive winds are anticipated
TCCOR 1 EmergencyDestructive winds of 50 knots or more are occurring
TCCOR 1 RecoveryDestructive winds are no longer forecast
Storm WatchWinds are not forecast to pass 50 knots, but high winds are still possible

Two things matter for surfers.

  • The good waves usually come early. Swell travels faster than the storm. The cleanest days are often the ones when TCCOR is still at a low level and the wind is light.
  • At TCCOR 2 the sea condition goes to Danger. The same happens with wind of 35 mph or more. Under the 18th Wing water safety policy, Danger means water entry is prohibited.

You can check the current sea condition on Kadena’s Local Weather page. Other services have their own orders, so ask before you go.


After the Storm

The swell often hangs around for a day or two after a typhoon has passed. So do a few problems.

  • The water can be brown and full of debris. Heavy rain washes soil and trash into the sea. Give it time to clear.
  • Things have moved. Rocks, branches and fishing gear end up in the lineup and on the paths down to the water.
  • Look after your boards. Bring them inside before a typhoon. A board left on a balcony or a car roof will not be there in the morning.

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Summary

Typhoon swell at a glance
SeasonJuly to October, peaking in August and September
Best windowThe clear, light-wind days before the storm arrives
Biggest risksOversized sets, strong currents, broken leashes and boards
BeginnersStay out and watch from the wall
Before you goWatch longer, check your leash, know your way out
US militarySea condition Danger at TCCOR 2 or wind of 35 mph or more

Typhoon season gives Okinawa its best waves of the year. It also takes boards, leashes and sometimes more. Watch longer than you think you need to, be honest about your level, and remember that there will be another swell.

For the rules of the lineup on crowded days, see Okinawa Surf Etiquette. For spots, tides and seasons, see Surfing in Okinawa: A Local’s Guide.

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